I’ve been lying low – I am working on a big piece for a newspaper. Also, it’s a busy time here at Princeton: undergraduate advising, graduate teaching, and it’s midterms week! I figured since the Presidential race is basically over, the urgency of posting was reduced. Anyway, I will be back soon with more bloggy goodness.
For now, please ignore the Presidential calculations. The Huffington Post is using a new format for many-state poll drops from UPI/CVOTER and Ipsos/Reuters. This has gummed us up. No, Trump is not ahead in Colorado; that state is actually Clinton +5%. This artificially affects the EV count and Meta-Margin, though the win probability is still 99% since Clinton does not need Colorado.
http://election.princeton.edu/2016/1...ervice-notice/
For now, please ignore the Presidential calculations. The Huffington Post is using a new format for many-state poll drops from UPI/CVOTER and Ipsos/Reuters. This has gummed us up. No, Trump is not ahead in Colorado; that state is actually Clinton +5%. This artificially affects the EV count and Meta-Margin, though the win probability is still 99% since Clinton does not need Colorado.
http://election.princeton.edu/2016/1...ervice-notice/
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