“The lower oil prices increases the probability of default and the timing for default but the perception of recovery value for the longer maturity bonds is more a function of medium term trends for oil prices (and hence a lower correlation between oil prices and bond prices). Unfortunately, we still expect oil prices as the main driver for bond prices on what remains policy incompetence with a preference for financing the balance of payments deficit as opposed to overhauling the structural imbalances that would reduce import dependence and grow the non-oil economy.”
http://blogs.barrons.com/emergingmar...l-price-falls/
The plummeting price of oil is giving the economies of Russia, Iran and Venezuela a strong smack upside the head.
And while the resulting crises before Russian President Vladimir Putin, the ruling clerics in Iran and the successor to Hugo Chavez in Venezuela won't engender much sympathy from many corners of the world, what those leaders may do in response has a number of foreign policy analysts worried.
http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2015...ore-dangerous/
http://blogs.barrons.com/emergingmar...l-price-falls/
The plummeting price of oil is giving the economies of Russia, Iran and Venezuela a strong smack upside the head.
And while the resulting crises before Russian President Vladimir Putin, the ruling clerics in Iran and the successor to Hugo Chavez in Venezuela won't engender much sympathy from many corners of the world, what those leaders may do in response has a number of foreign policy analysts worried.
http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2015...ore-dangerous/
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