RBSC

Collapse

Announcement

Collapse
No announcement yet.

S&P and Fitch downgrade Jamaica on debt exchange

Collapse
X
 
  • Filter
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts

  • S&P and Fitch downgrade Jamaica on debt exchange

    Tue Feb 12, 2013 5:53pm EST


    NEW YORK, Feb 12 (Reuters) - Rating agencies Fitch andStandard & Poor's on Tuesday cut Jamaica's ratings due to a debtexchange program by the island nation that S&P said it viewed asa default. "Jamaica has announced a domestic debt exchange program thatofficially launches today," S&P said in a statement. "Based onour criteria, we consider this exchange a default." S&P cut Jamaica's rating to SD, or selective default. Fitchcut the country to C. "In Fitch's opinion, the exchange, if completed, wouldconstitute a 'distressed debt exchange' (DDE) in line with itscriteria, as the operation adversely impacts the originalcontractual terms of domestic bondholders," the agency said in astatement. The cut to both foreign and local currency ratings indicates"that default on both types of debt instruments is highly likelyin the near term," Fitch added. Once the exchange is complete, Fitch said, the ratings willbe lowered to RD, or restricted default. Jamaica will be lifted out of default after Fitch determinesthe exchange was successful, usually measured by a minimumparticipation rate of 90 percent, the agency said. S&P said it lowered its ratings on the bonds included in theproposed domestic debt exchange to D while lowering the ratingson government securities not included in the debt exchange toCCC. Jamaica has been in talks with the International MonetaryFund to discuss a new lending agreement that it hopes willsteady the economy of the debt-ridden Caribbean nation. On Monday, according to Thomson Reuters IFR, Jamaican PrimeMinister Portia Simpson Miller announced plans to reduce thecountry's debt as a pre-condition for implementation of a newIMF loan program. The debt exchange offer seeks to exchange Jamaica'sdomestically issued debt. "It includes foreign currency-denominated debt that wasissued locally, which carries foreign currency ratings, which iswhy we have lowered the foreign currency credit rating to 'SD.'This transaction excludes debt owed to nonresidents," S&P said. A sustained improvement in the government's debt profilewill take many years because of structural economic weaknesses,S&P said, even though short-term liquidity strains could ease asa result of the exchange. "We expect to assign a new sovereign credit rating in the'CCC' category to the new bonds upon the completion of the debtexchange and the issuance of the new bonds, which is scheduledfor later this month," said S&P sovereign analyst JoydeepMukherji. S&P estimates Jamaica's general government debt burden toremain high at above 115 percent of gross domestic product in2013. Net international reserves of $1 billion at the end ofJanuary, a drop of nearly 50 percent from the beginning of 2012,plus low prospects for economic growth will constrain the newrating, S&P said. Moody's Investors Service rates the country B3 with a stableoutlook.
    "Jamaica's future reflects its past, having attained only one per cent annual growth over 30 years whilst neighbours have grown at five per cent." (Article)

  • #2
    Iceland regains investment grade status

    http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2013...t-grade-status
    Iceland regains investment grade status

    Ratings agency Fitch says Iceland has gained renewed access to international markets

    Phillip Inman Economics correspondent
    guardian.co.uk, Thursday 14 February 2013 14.01 EST

    Iceland
    Iceland's second largest bank, Landsbanki, in Rejkjavik, in 2008 during their financial crisis. Photograph: Olivier Morin/AFP/Getty Images

    Iceland's rehabilitation after several years as a pariah in the global financial markets gathered pace last night after ratings agency Fitch said the island nation's debts had regained investment grade status.

    Fitch said Iceland's debts had been upgraded to BBB from junk after a strong recovery from the financial crisis.

    Reykjavik's meteoric recovery comes after its 300,000 residents were told they would be locked out of the world's financial markets for decades after they refused to rescue a group of bankrupt banks in 2008.

    Unlike Ireland, Portugal and Spain, the Icelandic government let the country's banks become insolvent rather than spend tens of billions of pounds on bailout funds.

    Ireland, which spent more than €40bn rescuing its banks, recently re-negotiated a series of loans with the EU that will mean its debt payments stretch beyond 2050.

    Spain could still be forced to accept an EU bailout after a further deterioration in the financial stability of its major banks, which have only recently revealed the full extent of they bad loans they made in the run up to the banking crisis.

    Paul Rawkins, senior director in Fitch's Sovereign Rating Group, said: "The restoration of Iceland's long-term foreign currency rating to investment grade reflects the progress that has been made in restoring macroeconomic stability, pushing ahead with structural reform and rebuilding sovereign creditworthiness since the 2008 banking and currency crisis.

    "Iceland has successfully exited its IMF programme and gained renewed access to international capital markets. A promising economic recovery is under way, financial sector restructuring is well-advanced, while public debt/GDP appears to be close to peaking on the back of a robust fiscal consolidation programme."

    At the time of the banking debacle, Iceland was lauded by economists, including Princeton Nobel prize winner Paul Krugman, who advocated that other countries follow suit and refuse to indemnify bank creditors from insolvent banks.

    Krugman said markets would be more forgiving when the situation was stabilised.

    Iceland's population accepted steep cuts in pay and government services as the price of the bailout, but unlike their European counterparts, have escaped with only relatively small debts.

    Since it paid back the IMF loans in August 2011 it has increased exports and stabilised the government's finances. Growth in 2011 reached 3%.

    Fitch said that flexible labour and product markets and a floating exchange rate have facilitated the correction of external imbalances and contained the rise in unemployment, while the financial system has shrunk to one fifth of its former size, making the banking system safer.

    Comment


    • #3
      downgrade of Jamaican bonds is obligatory once there is a Debt Exchange (default) program

      Comment


      • #4
        "Iceland has successfully exited its IMF programme and gained renewed access to international capital markets. A promising economic recovery is under way, financial sector restructuring is well-advanced, while public debt/GDP appears to be close to peaking on the back of a robust fiscal consolidation programme."

        I hope X has seen this. It is simply not about the IMF, it is about us.
        • Don't let negative things break you, instead let it be your strength, your reason for growth. Life is for living and I won't spend my life feeling cheated and downtrodden.

        Comment


        • #5
          Why wait so long, Peter?

          Also, how did it come to this?

          How the new wheels?

          Comment


          • #6
            ask him

            Comment


            • #7
              Originally posted by Skeng D View Post
              downgrade of Jamaican bonds is obligatory once there is a Debt Exchange (default) program
              SkengD, when the JDX was executed, were Jamaican bonds downgraded?
              "Jamaica's future reflects its past, having attained only one per cent annual growth over 30 years whilst neighbours have grown at five per cent." (Article)

              Comment


              • #8
                yup...guh learn economics

                downgrade of bonds is obligatory once there is a default[Debt Exchange ]

                Comment


                • #9
                  Originally posted by Skeng D View Post
                  yup...guh learn economics

                  downgrade of bonds is obligatory once there is a default[Debt Exchange ]
                  Clearly I missed that news.
                  "Jamaica's future reflects its past, having attained only one per cent annual growth over 30 years whilst neighbours have grown at five per cent." (Article)

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Go dig up that report nuh?

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Originally posted by Willi View Post
                      Go dig up that report nuh?
                      Note, it was a genuine question, he could be right, i don't know. If you know otherwise let me know.
                      "Jamaica's future reflects its past, having attained only one per cent annual growth over 30 years whilst neighbours have grown at five per cent." (Article)

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        use your common sense *think*

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          But since when yuh hesitate fi guh dig up reports?

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            A Debt Exchange does not automatically equal a default you idiot...

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              you know know u nah nuh sense...what is a debt exchange[explain this jamaican one] ?
                              Last edited by Skeng DX; February 14, 2013, 08:20 PM.

                              Comment

                              Working...
                              X