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Debt profile & recent economic performance in perspective

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  • Debt profile & recent economic performance in perspective

    EDITORIAL - Take the eurobond in stride
    Published: Friday | February 18, 2011 0 Comments

    This newspaper welcomes the Government's successful placement of a US$400-million eurobond, whose interest of 7.95 per cent the finance minister, Audley Shaw, has celebrated as "the lowest rate at which Jamaica has ever raised funds on the international capital market".

    The new bond will facilitate the rollover of one that is about to fall due, which was issued a decade ago at 11.75 per cent. In other words, the interest on the new debt is 3.8 percentage points lower than the one that was placed in 2001. This should mean an annual 'saving' on interest costs of more than J$1.3 billion.

    As good as that number appears to be, neither the administration nor the country, at large, ought to allow it to mask the broader statement about the poor health of our economy and the urgency with which we have to approach its repair.

    Here is our context.

    Same premium as a decade ago


    While it is true that a year ago, the markets might have rebuffed Jamaica, global interest rates are at historic low levels. For example, the one-year London Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR) - broadly used as a reference rate for other debt - is now hovering at just under one per cent.

    Jamaica, therefore, has been asked to pay a premium on its debt of around seven percentage points above the 12-month LIBOR. That premium approximates to what was demanded on the 2001 bond when LIBOR, in the first quarter of the year, ranged between 5.28 per cent and 4.67 per cent.

    Baldly, while Jamaica is now benefiting from the general downward movement in rates, triggered by the global recession, our poor circumstance has not allowed us to extract any better premium than a decade ago.

    That is not entirely the fault of the current administration, which not only inherited an underperforming economy in 2007, but not long afterwards was confronted with the global meltdown. The truth, however, is that the administration was slow to recognise and react to the crisis, assuming that it would be of little consequence to Jamaica.

    That offers piece of the explanation of why, with much of the world on a path of recovery, though slowly, Jamaica recently marked its 14th consecutive quarter of negative growth and why the International Monetary Fund has concerns that fiscal adjustment is now being undertaken.

    This brings us to our oft-repeated call for a robust debate on economic growth and job creation and for the administration to embrace the private sector in an aggressive search for ways for this to happen.

    In this dialogue, all areas of economic and related policy must be open to scrutiny, and, if necessary, amendment. For instance, it might be useful to ask whether Jamaica can sustain last year's 4.4 per cent appreciation of its currency against the backdrop of inflation of 11.7 per cent, while that of its major trading partner, the United States, was under three per cent.

    The bottom line: Jamaica has to pull out all the stops to drive economic growth and create jobs. That is a concentration of US President Barack Obama, who has named the CEO of General Electric to head a growth and job panel.

    What might the Americans understand that we don't?
    TIVOLI: THE DESTRUCTION OF JAMAICA'S EVIL EMPIRE

    Recognizing the victims of Jamaica's horrendous criminality and exposing the Dummies like Dippy supporting criminals by their deeds.. or their silence.

    D1 - Xposing Dummies since 2007

  • #2
    The Gleaner fail to say that a growth committee has been formed in Ja before Obama formed his, Lead by the head of the PIOJ and an American Professor.

    The least the gleaner could have done is state that. Let us see what effect they have on the budget process.
    • Don't let negative things break you, instead let it be your strength, your reason for growth. Life is for living and I won't spend my life feeling cheated and downtrodden.

    Comment


    • #3
      Yapping cyaan dun... dem a preach tuh di Choir.. dem mussi trying to mek up for di loss of voice during the insanity of the 4 Term PNP Govt and Omar..

      All dem can seh is "dem moving in di right direction but dem coulda move fastah"

      Hindsight is 20/20..

      Drivah.. don't stap atall....press gas..

      Comment


      • #4
        what's a "growth committee" pray tell?

        Is that similar to a Viagra convention??
        TIVOLI: THE DESTRUCTION OF JAMAICA'S EVIL EMPIRE

        Recognizing the victims of Jamaica's horrendous criminality and exposing the Dummies like Dippy supporting criminals by their deeds.. or their silence.

        D1 - Xposing Dummies since 2007

        Comment


        • #5
          sshhhh... dem haffi write bout someting..critical commentary.. yuh tink di majority know bout dem ting deh ?

          Comment


          • #6
            This is just a rollover to retire a maturing bond. Principal neutral and interest cost positive.

            Comment


            • #7
              I suppose all our local companies are looking at the debt they are carrying, reorganising as per their needs and best suited actions and thus are freeing funds to further inviest and aid making the economy more robust?

              ...I suppose local individuals are doing the same thing.
              Last edited by Karl; February 18, 2011, 11:38 AM.
              "Never doubt that a small group of thoughtful, committed citizens can change the world. Indeed, it is the only thing that ever has."

              Comment


              • #8
                we had a discussion on interest rates on our sovereign debt now versus years ago... some people found the rate on the current instrument impressive

                this editorial illuminates the issue of rate equivalency based on the premium we pay above LIBOR now and 10 years ago.... the premium is the same so the rate negotiated on the Eurobond is not impressive
                TIVOLI: THE DESTRUCTION OF JAMAICA'S EVIL EMPIRE

                Recognizing the victims of Jamaica's horrendous criminality and exposing the Dummies like Dippy supporting criminals by their deeds.. or their silence.

                D1 - Xposing Dummies since 2007

                Comment


                • #9
                  as usually, one ont thing you can think at a time
                  • Don't let negative things break you, instead let it be your strength, your reason for growth. Life is for living and I won't spend my life feeling cheated and downtrodden.

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    au contraire... I pose the question because I can think of multiple things simultaneously
                    TIVOLI: THE DESTRUCTION OF JAMAICA'S EVIL EMPIRE

                    Recognizing the victims of Jamaica's horrendous criminality and exposing the Dummies like Dippy supporting criminals by their deeds.. or their silence.

                    D1 - Xposing Dummies since 2007

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      http://www.caribbean360.com/business/50844.html
                      • Don't let negative things break you, instead let it be your strength, your reason for growth. Life is for living and I won't spend my life feeling cheated and downtrodden.

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Jamaica's credit rating is now notches lower than it was in 2001, so the premium is lower.

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          shhhhhh. Don't tell him that credit rating play a part inna any loan.
                          • Don't let negative things break you, instead let it be your strength, your reason for growth. Life is for living and I won't spend my life feeling cheated and downtrodden.

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            Don, listen to ME, he is in the game.

                            There is more to Finance than meets the eye...as I am finding out when dealing with colleagues who are lacking in basic fundamentals.

                            Credit rating has to be factored in here, not just spread.

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              oh..
                              TIVOLI: THE DESTRUCTION OF JAMAICA'S EVIL EMPIRE

                              Recognizing the victims of Jamaica's horrendous criminality and exposing the Dummies like Dippy supporting criminals by their deeds.. or their silence.

                              D1 - Xposing Dummies since 2007

                              Comment

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