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What did I tell you about China and their money I felt like just stop reading. You are just saying what I'm saying in a round about way.
You seem to be too taken with Western opinions...so your own opinions are unbalanced....broaden the spectrum
[COLOR=red]The US has to be in Afghanistan but the dynamics have changed and the bear would rather see the eagle there than the dragon. India isn't comfortable with the dragon's rise hence forging closer ties with the Eagle.[/COLOR
The dragon doesn't have to be physically in the region; it can influence it by pulling pakistan under its spehere of influence.
and keep the Muslim fundamentalists at bay
I guess you still cannot see the strategic importance of Afghanistan; speak to military officer (by showing him the map without names) and you will know (don't even tell him about the resources). Taiwan pales in comparison.
You have a fundamental misunderstanding of China/Taiwan.The Kuomintang fled there from the Red Army and established that island as an independent country with the support of the West.
This is an emotional issue for China...they see Taiwan as a renegade province and will not stop until it is controlled by the mainland...this is not a matter of IF... it's a matter of WHEN... 10-20-30 years...whatever..that's guaranteed...unless the Communist Party is dethroned in China. Taiwan is more than an irritant for China...it's a National Priority
That is their #1 foreign policy objective...all else is subservient to that goal... and their foreign/military policy otherwise is aimed at securing raw materials (energy included) to fuel their growth and protecting the sea lanes that their trade depends on.
You claim the dragon doesn't have the military power to project across land (key operative here) yet they will have the pwoer to reintegrate Taiwan. Are you crazy? Look at the map and you will see what the eagle is doing.The dragon hasn't finished refitting the used aircraft carrier (hence we can see engineering hurdles here), the dragon would have to then build up a huge naval force in the region against the Eagle and the rising sun (for Taiwan? when if patience and skill is used a pipeline for the addiction could lead to it's lair) The dragon has been seduced into an addiction to oil and at the same time the eagle controls the key point to the black gold. The Dragon needs the prize that lies west of its lair via land.
To understand geo-politics you need to understand warfare...not just politics. China does not need a huge fleet to compete head to head with the US in retaking Taiwan. All they need is sufficient force to DETER the US from acting in Taiwan's defence as Clinton did 1n 1995 by sending 2 aircraft carrier led battle groups to the South China Sea when a then weak China threatened Taiwan.
Recall that the US has its forces dispersed globally and the US tends to get involved in stupid wars.. weakening its response further. Recall also that China has a credible ability to destroy US cities now...and no way will the US be risking Washington/LA/New York for Taipei.... so all China needs is a credible conventional deterrence in the Western Pacific/South China Sea region to invade Taiwan or foment political change otherwise.
What Beijing is promoting is called asymmetric warfare.. or Anti Access/Area Denial strategy in this case...to build the capacity to control their immediate neighborhood ..especially to the east......do some research on the concept.
While the US military MUST be downsized because it's currently unaffordable...China's is in a massive upgrade...focused on its east coast and oriented towards retaking Taiwan.
You really need Warfare 101 class. Your problem may be you are merely looking at the situation TODAY...and discounting where the current trajectory indicates that the situation will be in 20 years time when the Chinese economy may be larger than the US...all bets are off then... the world will be different.
Over time (possibly another sixty years or so) Joshua will emerge as Ja's greatest leader. Joshua's down fall came because of being a baby in the realm of geo politics (just as yourself and others in JA). You just came around but I'm consistent. When the aristide crisis came about I stood alone on this forum saying the then PNP should leave it alone and not butt heads with the US. When most were jumping through hoops about China, I said the then PNP govt, should walk away from them (for the interest of the people and stability of the nation). What seems to kill JA is the lack of a national policy, everyone is just out to skim something off the top and line their pockets. None od thes politicians want to roll up their sleeves and work (as Joshua did).
Joshua sent some of you to schools (so you could come back with knowledge to help your fellowmen) did you return? Look at Ja's infrastrucre. Where are our civil engineers? We should now be able to have resovoirs undergrond and in mountains if possible. There should not be shortage of water on the island (instead we sit every year praying that it will rain according to the seasons). The highways for rapid movement of goods and services were built with expertise from abroad (this plunging the island in further debt).
What are YOU doing?? Apart from mindless internet chatter that is..
I would propose that JA become the first nation to move the ministry of Education out of politics. Let it become national security akin to the JDF and moneyor budget to be casted accordingly for that ministry. You guys don't seem to see the impending danger for the island. Ja has some very bright and ambitious people (meaning the man or woman you see on the construction site,or selling on the streets could have been the island's scientist, engineer, economist,political scientist et al) but it's the lack of educational opportunities that's killing the island.
BTW one book could not have given you such an analysis.
BTW one book could not have given you such an analysis.
nice
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