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Bangarang a Britain. No majority party

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  • Bangarang a Britain. No majority party

    Election exit poll: Tories to be 19 short of majority


    The leaders now await the verdict of Britain's electorate

    David Cameron will fall 19 seats short of a Commons majority, according to a joint BBC/Sky/ITV exit poll. The Conservatives would have 307 MPs, up 97 on 2005, Labour would have 255, down 94, and the Lib Dems 59, down 3. Nationalists and others would have 29.
    That means Labour and the Lib Dems together could not have a majority.
    There are reports of long queues of people still waiting to vote in some parts of the country after the most closely fought election in decades.
    Polls closed across the country at 2200 BST but in Sutton Coldfield a BBC reporter says there are plans to lock voters inside the Mere Green Polling Station because the queues are currently so long. There are also reports of long queues in Sheffield, Leeds, Newcastle and other cities.
    Lib Dem leader Nick Clegg has been to a polling station in his Sheffield Hallam constituency, where many are queuing outside, to offer his apologies to voters.
    NOP and Mori surveyed 17,607 voters at 130 polling stations across the UK for the BBC/ ITV/Sky exit poll.
    Prime minister
    All exit polls have a small margin of error which could be significant in a tight election such as this one, in which the three main Westminster parties have been so close in the opinion polls.
    There could also be different voting patterns around the country.

    ELECTION 2010 ON THE BBC
    Results live on BBC One from 2155 BST
    Also on BBC HD and BBC News Channel
    Live coverage on the BBC News website
    Election Night on BBC Radio 5 live from 2200 BST
    BBC Radio 4's Election Special from 2200 BST



    BBC coverage: Log on and tune in
    How to cast your vote

    Nevertheless, Conservative leader David Cameron might find that winning one or two seats in Northern Ireland and forming a deal with the Democratic Unionist Party might be enough to give him a majority, making him Britain's next prime minister.
    The exit poll anticipates that the Labour Party has been more successful at holding on to its vote in seats in Scotland and Wales in seats where there is a large ethnic minority population and where there is an incumbent Labour MP standing again.
    The poll also anticipates the Lib Dems will perform better in England than in either Scotland or Wales, but a fall in number of MPs would still come as a blow to Lib Dem leader Nick Clegg, who has been neck-and-neck in the polls with the other two main parties for much of the campaign.
    It remains to be seen whether the poll proves to be accurate in its estimate of the Lib Dem performance - deputy leader Vince Cable told BBC News his party expected to have gained a lot from postal votes, as they were ahead in some polls when those votes were cast.
    Local elections
    The vast majority of constituencies will conduct their counts overnight, with about 20 not due to begin the process until after 0900 GMT on Friday.
    Most seats will declare in the early hours of Friday, but a handful of key marginals are expected to declare shortly after midnight, which could give an early indication of how the national result is going.
    More than 44 million people are registered to vote in 649 Parliamentary constituencies. Elections are also under way for 164 English councils.
    Polling in one constituency - Thirsk and Malton - has been delayed until 27 May because of the death of one of the candidates during the campaign. The exit poll assumes the Conservatives will win here.
    Among the council elections taking place, voters will choose representatives in 32 London boroughs, 36 metropolitan authorities and 20 unitary authorities.
    In these elections, a total of 15,785 candidates are contesting 4,222 seats.
    Plane crash
    Voting will also take place to choose mayors in Hackney, Newham, Lewisham and Watford.
    In a separate development, Nigel Farage, a UK Independence Party Euro-MP, said he was "lucky to be alive", after being involved in a light plane crash near Brackley, Northamptonshire.
    He is standing in the general election in Buckingham. He suffered non-life-threatening injuries when the aircraft came down just after 0800 BST.
    He was initially taken to hospital in Banbury, Oxfordshire, before being moved to the John Radcliffe Hospital in Oxford. The pilot is currently being treated at University Hospital in Coventry.
    Mr Farage's agent, Chris Adams, told the BBC he had to be moved for more checks.
    "I believe it's just precautionary, obviously, for chest pains and we've just got to do all the tests... and the required X-rays, and hopefully he'll be on the mend. The pilot, unfortunately, is in a more severe condition," he said.
    A spokeswoman for the John Radcliffe Hospital said Mr Farage would be kept in overnight and "will be with us for a few days".
    The crash is being investigated by the Air Accidents Investigation Branch and Northamptonshire Police. The aircraft was towing a banner when it crashed shortly after take-off.
    • Don't let negative things break you, instead let it be your strength, your reason for growth. Life is for living and I won't spend my life feeling cheated and downtrodden.

  • #2
    This is going to be interesting. Im not sure if its in Labours best interest to try and forge a governement with a minority of the seats. Even if a coalition between them and lib dems gave them a majority, they really do not have the legitimacy to govern. On the other hand, the conservatives don't really have any allies who can join and help them get a majority, so they are in a sticky poisition.

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    • #3
      which party did you vote for, MissL? i'm a labour man myself...if i were british, that is! i think people just tiyad of gordon brown.


      BLACK LIVES MATTER

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      • #4
        The Labour & the Liberals can not join to become a majority based on the number of seats won by both parties. They would need 21 out of 29 seats from the smaller parties for a majority.

        Conservative - 295
        Labour - 252
        Liberal Democrat - 53
        Other - 29

        326 to win.
        Winning means you're willing to go longer, work harder, and give more than anyone else - Vince Lombardi

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        • #5
          Originally posted by Mosiah View Post
          which party did you vote for, MissL? i'm a labour man myself...if i were british, that is! i think people just tiyad of gordon brown.
          I voted Labour, but only because there was nothing better.

          I think people are tired of Labour full stop. The stealth taxes and the huge debt. Britain is facing serious economic challenges and whoever wins, the taxpayers are gonna feel it. Personally, I feel Gordon Brown handled the reccession ok, its just that we are in so much debt, its gonna take huge cut backs and taxes rises to avoid a Greece-like situation.

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          • #6
            Labour is anti-Caribbean. Just look at their policies. EVERYTHING has been done to soak us.

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            • #7
              Labourite!!!!!!!

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              • #8
                Originally posted by Willi View Post
                Labour is anti-Caribbean. Just look at their policies. EVERYTHING has been done to soak us.
                The funny thing is that under labour, there has been a huge amount of immigration, from countries like Somolia, middle east, all parts of Africa and eastern Europe. These people have nothing in common with Britian or British culture and generally form cultural ghettos when they arrive, but Labour has effectively had an open door policy with them. However, caribbean migration to Britain is virtually non-existant. Africans out number caribbeans and will continue to do so massively in the years to come. Im doing work experience in a school in a historically strong caribbean area and there are only 3 caribbean (background) children in the school!

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                • #9
                  Dat will likely stop with the Tories.

                  White English people, especially in North England Far prefer Caribbean people to Germans, and non-Commonwealth citizens.

                  I have spoken with UK Govt officials under Labour. Dem act like friends but stab us in the back.

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                  • #10
                    Originally posted by Willi View Post
                    Dat will likely stop with the Tories.

                    White English people, especially in North England Far prefer Caribbean people to Germans, and non-Commonwealth citizens.

                    I have spoken with UK Govt officials under Labour. Dem act like friends but stab us in the back.
                    The common wealth really doesn't mean anything to be honest. Its more to do with language, culture and religion. In that resepect, caribbeans are preffered to the mass of immigrants that have come under Labour. I honestly don't know how some of these people end up in Britain. However, caribbean people are still "black" and "foreign" and were treated badly when they first came. Even now, whereas the children of the eastern european immigrants will be considered English. The descendants of caribbeans are still regarded as "foreign".

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                    • #11
                      Thats somewhat surprsing to me.

                      I had got the feeling that in the last 2 decades a distinct "Black British" culture had solidified. Culturally connected to the Caribbean and Africa, and obviously black and all that comes with that, but they were seen and saw themselves as British.
                      "‎It is easier to build strong children than to repair broken men" - Frederick Douglass

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                      • #12
                        Originally posted by Islandman View Post
                        Thats somewhat surprsing to me.

                        I had got the feeling that in the last 2 decades a distinct "Black British" culture had solidified. Culturally connected to the Caribbean and Africa, and obviously black and all that comes with that, but they were seen and saw themselves as British.
                        Well on the census form you have the option of:
                        "Black caribbean", "black African" or "black other", as oppose to "white british" and "white irish". I guess "black other" could be counted as black british, but the only people classified as british are white people. Put it this way, people constantly ask me "where I'm from" even though its obvious I was born in London. At school, the kids are always asking me where Im from, or "are you from jamaica?" And then they tell me where they are from, even though they were born in London too.

                        "Black British" culture. Im not sure what that it, it is largely caribbean culture mixed up with black american culture, despite caribbeans being overtaken by Africans in numbers. There is also the Caribbean vs African rivalry that runs deep in some areas.

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                        • #13
                          why is it
                          Originally posted by MissLondon View Post
                          ...obvious I was born in London.
                          ?


                          BLACK LIVES MATTER

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                          • #14
                            Originally posted by Mosiah View Post
                            why is it ?
                            From my accent. Most people in London who were born abroad retain there accent, especially Jamaicans lol. I have family members who have been here for more than 40 years, but have stronger accents than country people in Jamaica lol. Another thing, you don't meet many people my age born in the caribbean. But regardless, people don't ask me where Im from becuase they think I was born abroad, they ask me because Im obviously not "English"

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                            • #15
                              Interesting, I really did not realise that.

                              I guess my views were being overly influenced by celebrities like Leona Lewis, and the current crop of professional athletes, most of whom to me come across, as, well, "black British" . But clearly thier experiences are not typical and the PR behind them calls for a different kind of image than the typical black person in Britain.
                              "‎It is easier to build strong children than to repair broken men" - Frederick Douglass

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