Three parishes murder-free for January

[Mosiah]

What about homoelasticity?

[Me]

Might all have to include that. Then again, it might lead to a Bricktop and Ben war.

[Don1]

over the last decade

So I guess NY is now a murder free zone.... with this 100% reduction.

[Me]

So I guess NY is now a murder free zone.... with this 100% reduction.

Unu dealing with the breddah rough.

[Rudi]

Maybe he meant cumulative. Either way I think his point was it dropped significantly.

[Peter R]

I agree. You have to set aggressive targets in order for people (authorities) to start really trying to solve the problem and sustaining the effort. A soft target like 5% could be achieved regardless of anything the police force did.

How about starting with a 20% target...and brainstorming ways and implementing them, to achieve it. And any talk about Trinidad's rate is totally immaterial, T&T has it's own crosses to bear. (with reference to a post or two below)

[Willi]

Social intervention curbing crime - police

Published: Wednesday | February 18, 2009


Gareth Manning, Gleaner Writer
The police have cited social intervention as one of the major contributors to the island's slowing crime rate.
Murders, shootings, rape and carnal abuse have all dropped significantly, when compared with the last two years.
Homicides in January fell to their lowest levels in 24 months, plunging by 16 per cent when compared with the same period last year and by nearly 23 per cent when compared with January 2007.
Gang violence continued to account for most of the nation's murders, the police statistics indicate, primarily in the areas of south St Andrew, central St Andrew and St Catherine.
Reports of shooting declined marginally - by one per cent - but rape and carnal abuse fell by nine and 47 per cent, respectively.
Deputy Commissioner of Police Mark Shields, Jamaica's crime chief, says while there has been an improvement in police strategy to combat criminals, the fall in the number of murders is largely due to the success of the intervention of social groups such as the Peace Management Initiative (PMI) and the Violence Prevention Alliance (VPA).
"We (police) cannot take all the credit. I think that organisations such as the PMI are working very passionately and patiently to bring some of these groups together to solve some of these murders," he says.
Peace agreement
He cited the reduction of murders in August Town, St Andrew, as an example of the effectiveness of civic-group intervention. Last year, the PMI brokered a peace agreement between warring factions in the community.
Chairman of the VPA, Dr Elizabeth Ward, says while social intervention programmes are reaching their target audience, many remain starved of resources. With a cash injection of even $10 million more annually to social intervention, she said, many non-governmental groups could double their efficiency and reach.
"The interventions are helping, but I wouldn't hold my breath. If they are not supported and sustained over time ... the intrinsic problems - the layoffs and shortage of day jobs and all these kinds of things - are probably going to put a lot of pressure back on those communities," Ward lamented.
She also noted that when crime rates fell, social groups were faced with more pressure.
"To keep it (crime) down is going to require 10 times the work that it took to get it down and are we willing to put that in?" she questioned. gareth.manning@gleanerjm.com

[Willi]

Social intervention curbing crime - police

Published: Wednesday | February 18, 2009


Gareth Manning, Gleaner Writer
The police have cited social intervention as one of the major contributors to the island's slowing crime rate.
Murders, shootings, rape and carnal abuse have all dropped significantly, when compared with the last two years.
Homicides in January fell to their lowest levels in 24 months, plunging by 16 per cent when compared with the same period last year and by nearly 23 per cent when compared with January 2007.
Gang violence continued to account for most of the nation's murders, the police statistics indicate, primarily in the areas of south St Andrew, central St Andrew and St Catherine.
Reports of shooting declined marginally - by one per cent - but rape and carnal abuse fell by nine and 47 per cent, respectively.
Deputy Commissioner of Police Mark Shields, Jamaica's crime chief, says while there has been an improvement in police strategy to combat criminals, the fall in the number of murders is largely due to the success of the intervention of social groups such as the Peace Management Initiative (PMI) and the Violence Prevention Alliance (VPA).
"We (police) cannot take all the credit. I think that organisations such as the PMI are working very passionately and patiently to bring some of these groups together to solve some of these murders," he says.
Peace agreement
He cited the reduction of murders in August Town, St Andrew, as an example of the effectiveness of civic-group intervention. Last year, the PMI brokered a peace agreement between warring factions in the community.
Chairman of the VPA, Dr Elizabeth Ward, says while social intervention programmes are reaching their target audience, many remain starved of resources. With a cash injection of even $10 million more annually to social intervention, she said, many non-governmental groups could double their efficiency and reach.
"The interventions are helping, but I wouldn't hold my breath. If they are not supported and sustained over time ... the intrinsic problems - the layoffs and shortage of day jobs and all these kinds of things - are probably going to put a lot of pressure back on those communities," Ward lamented.
She also noted that when crime rates fell, social groups were faced with more pressure.
"To keep it (crime) down is going to require 10 times the work that it took to get it down and are we willing to put that in?" she questioned. gareth.manning@gleanerjm.com


I get your stats argument and it is valid, but the SD is essentially meaningless as the fluctuations are all UPWARDS.

Its sort of how the Wall St. guys goofed by using SD in risk management. SD is not a measure of risk, as it takes into account up and down motions. Risk for investment purposes is all DOWN! Volatility is not the problem, price drops are!

[Willi]

You mussi mean HETEROskedasticity. We dont deal with homo nutten nor skewness neither. Even Homo Sapiens get outlaw now, or at least under severe threat.

Ask missa Smith and him will tell yuh!

LoL

We really know how to focus on foolishness while Rome Burns. "I man saw a stone, just a come fi mash down Rome".

[Exile]

Willi...always refreshing to discuss with you since you don't get involved with fickle personal attacks. People are sooo defensive here these days...I was just pointing out that there could be a flaw in the 5% prediction etc....etc...how could I even suggest that 100 lives are insignificant? I deal with #s, stats and errors eevryday....
People just takes sides and jump down everybody throat that share a differrent opinion or perspective. Is life..I could handle dem.
Anyhow....C'val a gwaan.