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  • #1

    Election Predictions

    This is a conservative prediction and I have only awarded a state to Obama if he is up by at least 5 points in the latest polls. Obama will become the next president, and he will earn 311 electoral votes, and 224 for McCain.


    Obama
    WA - 11
    OR - 7
    CA - 55
    NV - 5
    CO - 9
    NM - 5
    MN - 10
    IA - 7
    WI - 10
    IL - 21
    PA - 21
    NY - 31
    MI - 17
    ME - 4
    VT - 3
    NH - 4
    MA - 12
    RI - 4
    CT - 7
    NJ - 15
    DE - 3
    MD - 10
    DC - 3
    HI - 4
    OH - 20
    VA - 13
    - 311



    McCain
    MT - 3
    ID - 4
    UT - 5
    AZ - 10
    WY - 3
    TX - 34
    ND - 3
    SD - 3
    NE - 5
    KS - 6
    OK - 7
    MO - 11
    AR - 6
    LA - 9
    MS - 6
    AL - 9
    TN - 11
    KY - 8
    IN - 11
    WV - 5
    GA - 15
    FL - 27
    SC - 8
    NC - 15
    - 224
    Last edited by Hortical; November 3, 2008, 09:38 PM.
    Winning means you're willing to go longer, work harder, and give more than anyone else - Vince Lombardi
    Tags: None
  • #2
    Scratch Geogia off McCain list

    Originally posted by Hortical View Post
    This is a conservative prediction and I have only awarded a state to Obama if he is up by at least 5 points in the latest polls. Obama will become the next president, and he will earn 311 electoral votes, and 224 for McCain.


    Obama
    WA - 11
    OR - 7
    CA - 55
    NV - 5
    CO - 9
    NM - 5
    MN - 10
    IA - 7
    WI - 10
    IL - 21
    PA - 21
    NY - 31
    MI - 17
    ME - 4
    VT - 3
    NH - 4
    MA - 12
    RI - 4
    CT - 7
    NJ - 15
    DE - 3
    MD - 10
    DC - 3
    HI - 4
    OH - 20
    VA - 13
    - 311



    McCain
    MT - 3
    ID - 4
    UT - 5
    AZ - 10
    WY - 3
    TX - 34
    ND - 3
    SD - 3
    NE - 5
    KS - 6
    OK - 7
    MO - 11
    AR - 6
    LA - 9
    MS - 6
    AL - 9
    TN - 11
    KY - 8
    IN - 11
    WV - 5
    GA - 15
    FL - 27
    SC - 8
    NC - 15
    - 224
    McCain is going to lose Geogia.
    The same type of thinking that created a problem cannot be used to solve the problem.

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    • #3
      mmmm?
      As said earlier - I am thinking Obama loses each and every state where he is not up by more than 6%age points!

      It is 'nervy' time!
      "Never doubt that a small group of thoughtful, committed citizens can change the world. Indeed, it is the only thing that ever has."

      Comment

      • #4
        what th.....I-MAN???!!

        Infidelity does not consist in believing, or in disbelieving; it consists in professing to believe what he does not believe. Thomas Paine

        Comment

        • #5
          Originally posted by Time View Post
          McCain is going to lose Geogia.
          You arrive at that conclusion based on .........
          "Jamaica's future reflects its past, having attained only one per cent annual growth over 30 years whilst neighbours have grown at five per cent." (Article)

          Comment

          • #6
            Originally posted by Karl View Post
            mmmm?
            As said earlier - I am thinking Obama loses each and every state where he is not up by more than 6%age points!

            It is 'nervy' time!
            Based on that its only PA and NV as toss up states he is going to win then?
            "Jamaica's future reflects its past, having attained only one per cent annual growth over 30 years whilst neighbours have grown at five per cent." (Article)

            Comment

            • #7
              Originally posted by Lazie View Post
              Based on that its only PA and NV as toss up states he is going to win then?
              Boss: We'll see what we shall see! ...that is just the way I am guessing/predicting it! If you have a different view, state it! That is how we 'do it' on this board.

              ...and guess what in a short while we'll see who came nearer to the truth. If a yuh, a yuh! if a mi, a mi! Regardless of who is nearer the truth doubt that will affect the price of bread!
              "Never doubt that a small group of thoughtful, committed citizens can change the world. Indeed, it is the only thing that ever has."

              Comment

              • #8
                Karl, 5% is a comfortable margin for the states that I am predicting for Obama. I would not be surprised if he wins NC and Florida!
                Winning means you're willing to go longer, work harder, and give more than anyone else - Vince Lombardi

                Comment

                • #9
                  Originally posted by Hortical View Post
                  Karl, 5% is a comfortable margin for the states that I am predicting for Obama. I would not be surprised if he wins NC and Florida!
                  Maybe you are right...in any case we'll soon know!
                  "Never doubt that a small group of thoughtful, committed citizens can change the world. Indeed, it is the only thing that ever has."

                  Comment

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