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Bernanke: Growth, inflation concerns

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  • Bernanke: Growth, inflation concerns

    http://money.cnn.com/2008/02/27/news...ex.htm?cnn=yes


    Fed chief acknowledges troubling signs about economic growth but also issues sharp warning about inflation.

    The economy still faces slower growth prospects but increasing inflation concerns could "complicate" the Federal Reserve's efforts to stimulate the economy, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke told lawmakers Wednesday.

    The central bank chief, in testimony before the House Financial Services Committee, said that the housing and labor market could deteriorate further and warned of tighter credit conditions.

    But he added that the recent increases in energy prices and key commodities, as well as a weaker dollar, remain an inflationary risk and could further erode consumer spending.

    "Should high rates of overall inflation persist, the possibility also exists that inflation expectations could become less well anchored," Bernanke said.

    He warned the Fed may have to pull back on its efforts to stimulate the economy. "In the months ahead, the Federal Reserve will continue to monitor closely inflation and inflation expectations," Bernanke said.

    While issuing a warning about inflation, Bernanke also said that the "housing market is expected to continue to weigh on economic activity" in coming months.

    To help keep the economy from tipping into a recession, the Fed has steadily cut the federal funds rate, which affects a variety of consumer loans, since September. It slashed interest rates twice by 1.25 percentage points in just under a week last month.

    Bernanke's remarks come amid recent warning signs about the economy.

    A survey on residential real estate released Tuesday revealed that the decline in home prices picked up at the end of 2007. And consumer confidence fell to its lowest level in five years, the New York-based Conference Board reported, on fears about the job market and slowing business activity.

    Right now, the growing consensus is that the Fed will cut interest rates by another half a percentage point when policymakers meet again on March 18.

    Less than two weeks ago, Bernanke and Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson warned lawmakers of slower economic growth in the coming year but said they believed the U.S. economy would avoid tipping into a recession, helped in part by the $170 billion economic stimulus package signed by President Bush on Feb. 13 and the most recent interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve
    "Jamaica's future reflects its past, having attained only one per cent annual growth over 30 years whilst neighbours have grown at five per cent." (Article)

  • #2
    Still on live on CNBC...
    Could not...would not explain why Mortgage rates have been rising...putting further damper on housing market...in the face of the Feds interest rate cuts?

    ...basically - (sic?!) acknowledged that the problems being experienced in the housing market is having an effect on credit - student loans, car loans, credit card loans...etc., etc...down turn in hiring, etc., etc...

    btw -Is there any truth to a rumour I heard that credit card providers/issuers are informing some card holders in good standing that their credit limits have been reduced. E.g. say someone had a line of $25,000.00 a call would be received and the line cut to say $15,000.00 as of time of the call and same shall be reflected on new credit card bill?
    "Never doubt that a small group of thoughtful, committed citizens can change the world. Indeed, it is the only thing that ever has."

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    • #3
      Well, it kind of does explain it ....

      Mortgage rates are determined more by the rate of the 10-year bond than they are by the Fed Rate, which is more a short-term interest rate.

      When there is the expectation of higher inflation, bond buyers demand higher interest rates so that they are still ahead of inflation, and this in turn sends up mortgage rates. Unfortunately this is happening just as the economy is getting into trouble.


      So now we are looking at a possible worst case situation of higher inflation and slower growth/higher employment, typically called "stagflation".
      "‎It is easier to build strong children than to repair broken men" - Frederick Douglass

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