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My bredrin Jangle asked me a question in another thread that has been bugging me. Being a manure fan, he rhetorically wanted to know if anything different from this season will happen next season. Sadly, after much despair, I will say that the top 2 finishers in the prem next year will once again be Chelski and manure. At present, no other clubs have the depth or quality that these teams have to pull it off. So unless someone else spends big (see my wild cards below), it will once again be Chelski and manure at the end.
Key Factors
Which one will come out on top? I may be wrong, but I believe that the ultimate champion will depend on two primary factors:
1. Chelski's ability to attract a top class new coach with a WINNING mentality. As much as I dislike Slur Alex's games and underhanded appraoch to the game, I would be a fool to argue with his record. It is beyond phenomenal. His is the kind of accomplishment that can only come from one with a winning mentality and anyone coming along thinking they are going to knock him out of top spot will have more than an ordinary fight on their hands. I have heard many of the names bandied about as replacement coaches, none are in the same league as this dispicable Darth Vader bredda. He is in an underbelly dark class by himself. I will get plenty argument for what I'm about to say, but Sven *might* be a good choice for Chelski - remember he pulled a double over manure this year and has a stellar club record. I think that Scolari has the kind of mentality that is needed and Sven has the depth of thinking, but not necessarily the right mentality. Rjkaard? While I think he is too classy for Chelski, he may be able to do it, but he is no Slur Alex. Bottomline, Chelski have a real challenge on their hands.
2. Summer signings - as I see it, Chelski have a deeper, more experienced and overall a better squad than manure...but they need to sign a new top class striker to replace drogbreath and they desperately need a world class right back. They need to get Essien off this no-mans-land play-him-out-of-position flywheel he's been on. They will also need to either change their tactics or sign a replacement for the great Makelele. No small challenge. Interestingly enough, Essien can play that spot, so he may be the answer if they get quality at right back.
As the stars so align, I also believe manure will need another striker and another right back as well. While Wes Brown's form is outstanding, it is unlikely that an aging Neville would be the right choice as Brown's backup and that leaves you with Oshea. Journeyman...but no Brown and no Ratface Neville. Up front, Saha is on his last legs and I don't see him as a viable squad member next year. You could also argue that Scholes and Giggs have to be phased out and Nani, Andersen and Park will have to step up and feature more next year. While I can't see either of these veterans retiring just yet, it may be a bit much to expect the same performance from them next year as they put out this year. Even so, if manure does NOTHING in the transfer window, they will be up there at the end. They are that good and that deep. Plus, they have enough Prem referrees in their back pocket to sway more than one contest (I am serious).
Wild Cards
All that said, there are two wild card developments that could disrupt the apple cart. The first is Wenger. If (or should I say BIG "IF") Wenger decides to depart from his past policy and break the bank, Arsenal will be a major force. Remember that Wenger believes that "Arsenal makes stars, we don't buy them" which is his way of saying he ain't spending top dollar for players. I suspect that Wenger is a proud manager who wants to stick to his principles and "do it his way", but he desperately needs a TOP TOP finisher (expensive) especially with Eduardo's return being out of the question for most of next season. He will also have a midfield problem if Rosicky's surgery leaves him short of his best - a big problem with Flamini's departure. So if he can deepen his squad and get some more quality up front and in midfield around Fabergas, Arsenal may well be the "in there" at the end. Wenger has the money, he just has to be convinced to spend it.
The second wild card and potentially disruptive development (which would have to happen VERY VERY SOON if it is to have any effect) is a takeover of Liverpool by DIC. If the Americans sell to DIC, it is very likely that Rafa may be able to "break the bank" and sign truly world class talent to a lamentably thin squad totally incapable of challenging for top honours due to lack of depth. Their first team is as good as any, but they desperately need PACEY goal scoring wingers and a back up goalie. On this last point, keeping Carson on loan at Villa maybe the best strategy in the event of a Reina injury as they presumably can recall him at anytime. Current number 2 Itanje is not the solution and is a liability in my mind. Incidentally, the return of Sammy Lee to the Liverpool managerial ranks will be something to keep your eye on. He has a direct connection to the club's "glory days" which went out the door after Phil Thompson left with the Houllier regime...I would not be surprised if this has a positive impact on the squad.
Lastly, there is one other factor that I think is worth noting. Cristian Ronaldo's form. It was beyond unreal in 2007/08. One could arguably say that were he to be injured in the past year, manure would have lost the title. If he experiences any loss of form, gets injured next year, or goes to Real Madrid (long long shot) manure will be in trouble. Indeed, it is unlikely that he will have the same 31 goal output, so that is a key thing to watch. Keep in mind that manure lost 5 games last season -that was more than Chelski (3), Arsenal (3) AND Liverpool (4). They however, made up the difference in the WIN column, and much of that is attributable to the 31 goal output of C. Ronaldo. So where Chelski and Arsenal drew their opponents, Manure won. That's the essense of the difference between these clubs.
So Jangle, the truth is, I don't see any difference in the table (as things sit today) come May 2009. My take:
Manure - 86 pts
Chelski - 82
Arsenal - 80
Liverpool - 76
Those are my thoughts, I am sure you have yours.
~Paul
My bredrin Jangle asked me a question in another thread that has been bugging me. Being a manure fan, he rhetorically wanted to know if anything different from this season will happen next season. Sadly, after much despair, I will say that the top 2 finishers in the prem next year will once again be Chelski and manure. At present, no other clubs have the depth or quality that these teams have to pull it off. So unless someone else spends big (see my wild cards below), it will once again be Chelski and manure at the end.
Key Factors
Which one will come out on top? I may be wrong, but I believe that the ultimate champion will depend on two primary factors:
1. Chelski's ability to attract a top class new coach with a WINNING mentality. As much as I dislike Slur Alex's games and underhanded appraoch to the game, I would be a fool to argue with his record. It is beyond phenomenal. His is the kind of accomplishment that can only come from one with a winning mentality and anyone coming along thinking they are going to knock him out of top spot will have more than an ordinary fight on their hands. I have heard many of the names bandied about as replacement coaches, none are in the same league as this dispicable Darth Vader bredda. He is in an underbelly dark class by himself. I will get plenty argument for what I'm about to say, but Sven *might* be a good choice for Chelski - remember he pulled a double over manure this year and has a stellar club record. I think that Scolari has the kind of mentality that is needed and Sven has the depth of thinking, but not necessarily the right mentality. Rjkaard? While I think he is too classy for Chelski, he may be able to do it, but he is no Slur Alex. Bottomline, Chelski have a real challenge on their hands.
2. Summer signings - as I see it, Chelski have a deeper, more experienced and overall a better squad than manure...but they need to sign a new top class striker to replace drogbreath and they desperately need a world class right back. They need to get Essien off this no-mans-land play-him-out-of-position flywheel he's been on. They will also need to either change their tactics or sign a replacement for the great Makelele. No small challenge. Interestingly enough, Essien can play that spot, so he may be the answer if they get quality at right back.
As the stars so align, I also believe manure will need another striker and another right back as well. While Wes Brown's form is outstanding, it is unlikely that an aging Neville would be the right choice as Brown's backup and that leaves you with Oshea. Journeyman...but no Brown and no Ratface Neville. Up front, Saha is on his last legs and I don't see him as a viable squad member next year. You could also argue that Scholes and Giggs have to be phased out and Nani, Andersen and Park will have to step up and feature more next year. While I can't see either of these veterans retiring just yet, it may be a bit much to expect the same performance from them next year as they put out this year. Even so, if manure does NOTHING in the transfer window, they will be up there at the end. They are that good and that deep. Plus, they have enough Prem referrees in their back pocket to sway more than one contest (I am serious).
Wild Cards
All that said, there are two wild card developments that could disrupt the apple cart. The first is Wenger. If (or should I say BIG "IF") Wenger decides to depart from his past policy and break the bank, Arsenal will be a major force. Remember that Wenger believes that "Arsenal makes stars, we don't buy them" which is his way of saying he ain't spending top dollar for players. I suspect that Wenger is a proud manager who wants to stick to his principles and "do it his way", but he desperately needs a TOP TOP finisher (expensive) especially with Eduardo's return being out of the question for most of next season. He will also have a midfield problem if Rosicky's surgery leaves him short of his best - a big problem with Flamini's departure. So if he can deepen his squad and get some more quality up front and in midfield around Fabergas, Arsenal may well be the "in there" at the end. Wenger has the money, he just has to be convinced to spend it.
The second wild card and potentially disruptive development (which would have to happen VERY VERY SOON if it is to have any effect) is a takeover of Liverpool by DIC. If the Americans sell to DIC, it is very likely that Rafa may be able to "break the bank" and sign truly world class talent to a lamentably thin squad totally incapable of challenging for top honours due to lack of depth. Their first team is as good as any, but they desperately need PACEY goal scoring wingers and a back up goalie. On this last point, keeping Carson on loan at Villa maybe the best strategy in the event of a Reina injury as they presumably can recall him at anytime. Current number 2 Itanje is not the solution and is a liability in my mind. Incidentally, the return of Sammy Lee to the Liverpool managerial ranks will be something to keep your eye on. He has a direct connection to the club's "glory days" which went out the door after Phil Thompson left with the Houllier regime...I would not be surprised if this has a positive impact on the squad.
Lastly, there is one other factor that I think is worth noting. Cristian Ronaldo's form. It was beyond unreal in 2007/08. One could arguably say that were he to be injured in the past year, manure would have lost the title. If he experiences any loss of form, gets injured next year, or goes to Real Madrid (long long shot) manure will be in trouble. Indeed, it is unlikely that he will have the same 31 goal output, so that is a key thing to watch. Keep in mind that manure lost 5 games last season -that was more than Chelski (3), Arsenal (3) AND Liverpool (4). They however, made up the difference in the WIN column, and much of that is attributable to the 31 goal output of C. Ronaldo. So where Chelski and Arsenal drew their opponents, Manure won. That's the essense of the difference between these clubs.
So Jangle, the truth is, I don't see any difference in the table (as things sit today) come May 2009. My take:
Manure - 86 pts
Chelski - 82
Arsenal - 80
Liverpool - 76
Those are my thoughts, I am sure you have yours.
~Paul
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