Personal Prediction #2: Women’s 100-meter Race
This is the second in a series of predictions that I will be making over the next few days (the first was the women’s 200-meter race, which I have re-posted here immediately below my 100-meter predictions). Again, all relevant comments are welcome.
Gold: Shelly-Ann Fraser (Jamaica)
Silver: Carmelita Jeter (USA)
Bronze: Kerron Stewart (Jamaica)
Last year, Shelly-Ann was the underdog, despite running as fast as the 2007 IAAF World Championships 100-meter champion Veronica Campbell-Brown had ever gone in her career. And not only was Shelly-Ann the underdog, but to add insult to injury, there were strident calls by many Jamaicans for her to be dropped in favor of Veronica.
Well, Beijing came and guess who became the first woman in the history of the Caribbean to win an Olympic Games 100-meter gold medal? In my view, Shelly-Ann is one of the most focused athletes in track and field today, and despite not being as fast as Kerron Stewart (PB 10.75), Shelly-Ann’s famous rocket start and determined focus should get the job done again. In the case of Kerron, she has shown us, more than once, that she is prone to be distracted by happenings on or off the track. If she gets an outstanding start, though, then this posted prediction of mine could go awry.
Carmelita Jeter was the poster girl for 100-meter sprinting early this season, and although she appeared to have peaked a month or so ago, I suspect that this was not the case. Certainly her anchor run on that outstanding USA 4x100-meter relay team last week is clear proof that she should not be ignored!
Personal Prediction #3: Men’s 100-meter Race
This is the third in a series of predictions that I will be making over the next few days. All relevant comments are most certainly welcome.Gold: Usain Bolt (Jamaica)
Silver: Tyson Gay (USA)
Bronze: Daniel Bailey (Antigua)
Those who are suggesting that Tyson Gay will not medal must surely be drinking the wrong stuff! Tyson, lest we forget, is the fastest man in the 100 and 200-meter races this year and, equally important, the IAAF World Championships 100-meter and 200-meter defending champion! I expect the increasingly confident Antiguan Daniel Bailey to grab the bronze medal, although he will NOT be very close behind the two front runners.
LOOKING BACK: Personal Prediction #1: Women’s 200-meter Race
Gold: Allyson Felix (USA)
Silver: Veronica Campbell-Brown (Jamaica)
Bronze: Debbie Ferguson-McKenzie (Bahamas)
Allyson Felix’s performance at the Stockholm Super Grand Prix was a fantastic run. Not only is it the second fastest race of her career (her 21.81 in 2007 at the IAAF World Championships in Osaka is her fastest), but it is also the third fastest 200-meter run by a woman since the start of this century! Debbie Ferguson-McKenzie has tasted 200-meter victory before, as she is the holder of the gold medal from the 2001 IAAF World Championships and the bronze from the 2004 Olympic Games.
Stockholm Super Grand Prix, July 31, 2009
Results: Women’s 200-meter race
WR: 21.34 Florence Griffith-Joyner (1988)
SR: 22.00 Sherone Simpson (2006)
Wind: 1.3 m/s
Rank Name Nat Time
1 Allyson Felix (USA) 21.88 SR
2 Debbie Ferguson (BAH) 22.23
3 Kerron Stewart (JAM) 22.72
4 Marshevet Hooker (USA) 22.84
5 Laverne Jones (ISV) 23.15
6 Cydonie Mothersill (CAY) 23.27
7 Alexandria Anderson (USA) 23.32
8 Yuliya Chermoshanskaya (RUS) 23.70
Putting Allyson’s performance into perspective, let’s compare it with the best 200-meter times since the start of this 21 century:
21.74 Veronica Campbell-Brown 21 August 08 Beijing
21.81 Allison Felix 31 August 07 Osaka
21.88 AF 31 July 09 Stockholm
21.93 AF 21 August 08 Beijing
21.94 VCB 29 June 08 Kingston
21.94 Marion Jones 23 July 00 Sacramento
21.98 VCB 19 July 08 Barcelona
21.99 Kerron Stewart 29 June 08 Kingston
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